After experiencing miscarriage, fear of recurrence can feel overwhelming. “Will this happen again?” is one of the most common and urgent questions.
What the Numbers Say
After one miscarriage, most people go on to have a healthy pregnancy next time; the chance of another miscarriage is about 20%.
Even after two losses, most will have a successful next pregnancy.
Recurrent miscarriage (usually defined as three or more consecutive losses) affects about 1 in 100 couples.
Beyond the Numbers
Your personal risk depends on factors like:
Increased maternal age
Parental chromosomal factors
Uterine factors (adhesions, fibroids)
Endocrine (uncontrolled diabetes, thyroid dysfunction)
Lifestyle factors (smoking, alcohol, recreational drugs)
Previous history of miscarriage
Tools That Can Help
Organizations like Tommy’s offer resources to help contextualize this risk. Their miscarriage support tool uses research data to estimate your likelihood of another loss, based on your individual history.
This tool is best used to guide a conversation with your doctor, not to replace it.
You can access the tool here: https://miscarriagetool.tommys.org/
The Emotional Perspective
Statistics don’t always soothe the heart. Some women feel comforted by knowing the odds are still in their favor. Others feel consumed by the possibility of another loss, no matter how small.
“I know the numbers, but I can’t shake the fear that I’ll be the unlucky one.”
Both responses are valid.
Key Takeaways
Speak to your GP/clinician after two miscarriages to discuss whether any tests are helpful, and seek specialist review after three consecutive losses (recurrent miscarriage)
Your personal risk depends on multiple factors — not just statistics.
Tommy’s recurrent miscarriage calculator is one resource that can help you understand your own risk profile.
Fear after loss is normal. Give yourself permission to feel it, but don’t let it steal your hope.
✨ Numbers can’t tell the whole story — your lived experience matters too. Sibyl is designed to bridge that gap. We’re currently testing our first version and inviting early users to help shape it. Sign up here: https://www.sibyl.care/signup
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